Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.477672 0.531037 0.588613 0.655465 0.731093 0.814159 0.912523
2025-03-23 0.395568 0.469420 0.555226 0.662786 0.794699 0.952080 1.155371
2025-03-30 0.342137 0.423540 0.522801 0.653706 0.823221 1.037245 1.330976
2025-04-06 0.305544 0.391305 0.500044 0.649526 0.851997 1.120036 1.507310
2025-04-13 0.268657 0.353682 0.464976 0.623290 0.845887 1.152527 1.615359
2025-04-20 0.250092 0.337834 0.456170 0.630031 0.883359 1.245959 1.817020
2025-04-27 0.234660 0.324446 0.448863 0.637134 0.920607 1.341034 2.030085
2025-05-04 0.220879 0.311926 0.441250 0.642332 0.954437 1.432950 2.247224
2025-05-11 0.207872 0.299287 0.432108 0.643864 0.981940 1.516608 2.459260
2025-05-18 0.197965 0.290323 0.427454 0.651409 1.018858 1.617829 2.711290
2025-05-25 0.183726 0.273701 0.409787 0.636677 1.017823 1.655668 2.856184
2025-06-01 0.176464 0.267248 0.407260 0.645857 1.056856 1.764299 3.140393
2025-06-08 0.166020 0.255274 0.395422 0.639151 1.068932 1.828520 3.352814
2025-06-15 0.158955 0.248229 0.391016 0.644583 1.102685 1.934937 3.660607
2025-06-22 0.149805 0.237142 0.379110 0.635921 1.109977 1.992654 3.877557
2025-06-29 0.142307 0.228286 0.370283 0.631859 1.125102 2.066247 4.136168
2025-07-06 0.131688 0.213534 0.350453 0.606432 1.097592 2.053779 4.208675
2025-07-13 0.127305 0.209143 0.348214 0.612966 1.131940 2.167677 4.573721
2025-07-20 0.123282 0.205111 0.346295 0.619850 1.167417 2.287231 4.967932
2025-07-27 0.119244 0.200796 0.343559 0.624888 1.199477 2.402674 5.368636
2025-08-03 0.114952 0.195770 0.339194 0.626373 1.224233 2.504724 5.751329
2025-08-10 0.111749 0.192519 0.337865 0.633685 1.261763 2.638697 6.233574
2025-08-17 0.105851 0.184014 0.326219 0.619407 1.251678 2.663795 6.438133